%0 Generic %A Verhagen, Philip %C Bonn %D 2008 %E Posluschny, A. %E Lambers, K. %E Herzog, I. %F propylaeumdok:523 %P 285-291 %R 10.11588/propylaeumdok.00000523 %T Testing archaeological predictive models: a rough guide %U https://archiv.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/propylaeumdok/523/ %X Archaeological predictive modelling is an essential instrument for archaeological heritage management in the Netherlands. It is used to decide where to do archaeological survey in the case of development plans. However, very little attention is paid to testing the predictions made. Model quality is established by means of peer review, rather than by quantitative criteria. In this paper the main issues involved with predictive model testing are discussed. The potential of resampling methods for improved predictive model quality is investigated, and the problems associated with obtaining representative test data sets are highlighted.