eprintid: 10494 rev_number: 5 eprint_status: archive userid: 1 dir: disk0/00/01/04/94 datestamp: 2010-03-30 15:56:11 lastmod: 2015-04-24 08:37:35 status_changed: 2012-08-15 08:53:16 type: workingPaper metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Conrad, Christian creators_name: Rittler, Daniel creators_name: Rotfuß, Waldemar title: Modeling and Explaining the Dynamics of European Union Allowance Prices at High-Frequency ispublished: pub subjects: 330 divisions: 181000 keywords: EU ETS , EUA , Second NAPs , Announcement Effects , Price Formation abstract: In this paper we model the adjustment process of European Union Allowance (EUA) prices to the releases of announcements at high-frequency controlling for intraday periodicity, volatility clustering and volatility persistence. We find that the high-frequency EUA price dynamics are very well captured by a fractionally integrated asymmetric power GARCH process. The decisions of the European Commission on second National Allocation Plans have a strong and immediate impact on EUA prices. On the other hand, our results suggest that EUA prices are only weakly connected to indicators about the future economic development as well as the current economic activity. abstract_translated_lang: eng date: 2010 date_type: published id_scheme: DOI id_number: 10.11588/heidok.00010494 schriftenreihe_cluster_id: sr-3 schriftenreihe_order: 0497 ppn_swb: 623037378 own_urn: urn:nbn:de:bsz:16-opus-104945 language: eng bibsort: CONRADCHRIMODELINGAN2010 full_text_status: public citation: Conrad, Christian ; Rittler, Daniel ; Rotfuß, Waldemar (2010) Modeling and Explaining the Dynamics of European Union Allowance Prices at High-Frequency. [Working paper] document_url: https://archiv.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/volltextserver/10494/1/Conrad_Rittler_Rotfuss_2010_dp497.pdf