eprintid: 17056 rev_number: 16 eprint_status: archive userid: 2744 dir: disk0/00/01/70/56 datestamp: 2014-06-18 11:49:47 lastmod: 2015-04-22 04:52:25 status_changed: 2014-06-18 11:49:47 type: workingPaper metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Enders, Zeno creators_name: Hakenes, Hendrik Hakenes title: On the Existence and Prevention of Speculative Bubbles subjects: 330 divisions: 181000 keywords: Bubbles, Rational Expectations, Market Depth, Liquidity, Financial Crises, Leveraged Investment, Bonuses, Capital Structure. abstract: We develop a parsimonious model of bubbles based on the assumption of imprecisely known market depth. In a speculative bubble, traders drive the price above its fundamental value in a dynamic way, driven by rational expectations about future price developments. At a previously unknown date, the bubble will endogenously burst. We provide a general condition for the possibility of bubbles depending on the risk-free rate, uncertainty about market depth, and traders’ degree of leverage. This allows us to discuss several policy measures. Bubbles always reduce aggregate welfare. Among others, certain monetary policy rules, minimum leverage ratios, and a correctly implemented Tobin tax can prevent their occurrence. Implemented incorrectly, however, some of these measures backfire and facilitate bubbles. date: 2014-06 id_scheme: DOI id_number: 10.11588/heidok.00017056 schriftenreihe_cluster_id: sr-3 schriftenreihe_order: 0567 ppn_swb: 1658293584 own_urn: urn:nbn:de:bsz:16-heidok-170568 language: eng bibsort: ENDERSZENOONTHEEXIST201406 full_text_status: public series: Discussion Paper Series, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics volume: 0567 place_of_pub: Heidelberg pages: 40 citation: Enders, Zeno ; Hakenes, Hendrik Hakenes (2014) On the Existence and Prevention of Speculative Bubbles. [Working paper] document_url: https://archiv.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/volltextserver/17056/1/Enders_Hakenes_2014_dp567.pdf