eprintid: 21329 rev_number: 11 eprint_status: archive userid: 2326 dir: disk0/00/02/13/29 datestamp: 2016-06-16 07:03:01 lastmod: 2016-11-08 18:41:08 status_changed: 2016-06-16 07:03:01 type: workingPaper metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Beran, Rudolf title: Bootstrap Variable-Selection and Confidence Sets subjects: ddc-510 divisions: i-110400 keywords: Coverage probability, geometric loss, Cp-estimator abstract: This paper analyzes estimation by bootstrap variable-selection ina simple Gaussian model where the dimension of the unknown parameter mayexceed that of the data. A naive use of the bootstrap in this problemproduces risk estimators for candidate variable-selections that have astrong upward bias. Resampling from a less overfitted model removes the bias and leads to bootstrap variable-selections that minimize risk asymptotically. A related bootstrap technique generates confidence sets that are centered atthe best bootstrap variable-selection and have two further properties: theasymptotic coverage probability for the unknown parameter is as desired; andthe confidence set is geometrically smaller than a classical competitor.The results suggest a possible approach to confidence sets in other inverseproblems where a regularization technique is used. date: 1994-11 id_scheme: DOI id_number: 10.11588/heidok.00021329 schriftenreihe_cluster_id: sr-10a schriftenreihe_order: 22 ppn_swb: 165375379X own_urn: urn:nbn:de:bsz:16-heidok-213290 language: eng bibsort: BERANRUDOLBOOTSTRAPV199411 full_text_status: public place_of_pub: Heidelberg pages: 19 citation: Beran, Rudolf (1994) Bootstrap Variable-Selection and Confidence Sets. [Working paper] document_url: https://archiv.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/volltextserver/21329/1/beitrag.22.pdf