eprintid: 23231 rev_number: 16 eprint_status: archive userid: 3114 dir: disk0/00/02/32/31 datestamp: 2017-07-14 10:42:02 lastmod: 2017-07-18 13:25:04 status_changed: 2017-07-14 10:42:02 type: workingPaper metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Conrad, Christian creators_name: Stuermer, Karin title: On the economic determinants of optimal stock-bond portfolios: international evidence subjects: ddc-330 divisions: i-181000 cterms_swd: stock-bond correlation cterms_swd: DCC cterms_swd: DCC-MIDAS cterms_swd: survey data cterms_swd: macro expectations cterms_swd: forecasting cterms_swd: portfolio choice cterms_swd: asset allocation abstract: Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification that allows the long-term correlation component to be a function of multiple explanatory variables, we show that the stock-bond correlation in the US, the UK, Germany, France, and Italy is mainly driven by inflation and interest rate expectations as well as a flight-to-safety during times of stress in financial markets. Based on the new DCC-MIDAS model, we construct stock-bond hedge portfolios and show that these portfolios outperform various benchmark portfolios in terms of portfolio risk. While optimal daily weights minimize portfolio risk, we find that portfolio turnover and trading costs can be substantially reduced when switching to optimal monthly weights. date: 2017-07-14 id_scheme: DOI id_number: 10.11588/heidok.00023231 schriftenreihe_cluster_id: sr-3 schriftenreihe_order: 0636 ppn_swb: 1659372623 own_urn: urn:nbn:de:bsz:16-heidok-232315 language: eng bibsort: CONRADCHRIONTHEECONO20170714 full_text_status: public series: Discussion Paper Series, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics volume: 0636 place_of_pub: Heidelberg citation: Conrad, Christian ; Stuermer, Karin (2017) On the economic determinants of optimal stock-bond portfolios: international evidence. [Working paper] document_url: https://archiv.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/volltextserver/23231/1/__ad.uni-heidelberg.de_wiso_u.arnold_Desktop_dp636.pdf