eprintid: 23389 rev_number: 13 eprint_status: archive userid: 3114 dir: disk0/00/02/33/89 datestamp: 2017-09-11 09:29:04 lastmod: 2019-02-21 09:56:57 status_changed: 2017-09-11 09:29:04 type: workingPaper metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Eichberger, Jürgen creators_name: Grant, Simon creators_name: Kelsey, David title: Ambiguity and the Centipede Game: Strategic Uncertainty in Multi-Stage Games subjects: 330 divisions: 181000 abstract: We propose a solution concept for a class of extensive form games with ambiguity. Specifically we consider multi-stage games. Players have CEU preferences. The associated ambiguous beliefs are revised by Generalized Bayesian Updating. We assume individuals take account of possible changes in their preferences by using consistent planning. We show that if there is ambiguity in the centipede game it is possible to sustain 'cooperation' for many periods as part of a consistent-planning equilibrium under ambiguity. In a non-cooperative bargaining game we show that ambiguity may be a cause of delay in bargaining. date: 2017-08-15 id_scheme: DOI id_number: 10.11588/heidok.00023389 schriftenreihe_cluster_id: sr-3 schriftenreihe_order: 0638 ppn_swb: 897894774 own_urn: urn:nbn:de:bsz:16-heidok-233892 language: eng bibsort: EICHBERGERAMBIGUITYA20170815 full_text_status: public series: Discussion Paper Series volume: 0638 place_of_pub: Heidelberg pages: 45 citation: Eichberger, Jürgen ; Grant, Simon ; Kelsey, David (2017) Ambiguity and the Centipede Game: Strategic Uncertainty in Multi-Stage Games. [Working paper] document_url: https://archiv.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/volltextserver/23389/1/dp638.pdf