eprintid: 23714 rev_number: 11 eprint_status: archive userid: 3423 dir: disk0/00/02/37/14 datestamp: 2017-11-23 10:40:08 lastmod: 2017-12-21 08:50:55 status_changed: 2017-11-23 10:40:08 type: doctoralThesis metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Größl, Martin title: Konzeptioneller Ansatz einer Fehlerprädiktionsumgebung divisions: 110001 adv_faculty: af-11 abstract: In this thesis a failure prediction environment based on selected methods of statistics, machine learning and data mining was developed. For the system behavior representation of an observed information system mathematical models,such as Bayesian networks and Markov chains, were generated. These models were analyzed using a probabilistic model-checking for both the process evolution (path) into a fault condition as well as the time duration until the occurrence of this possible fault. Furthermore, based on a Kalman filter an approach for identification of anomalies and / or misbehavior in data streams was developed. This also includes a system identification part, which derives the models from measurement data. These models form the basis for the misbehavior detection. date: 2017 id_scheme: DOI id_number: 10.11588/heidok.00023714 ppn_swb: 1657340171 own_urn: urn:nbn:de:bsz:16-heidok-237144 date_accepted: 2017-09-27 advisor: HASH(0x556120a04928) language: ger bibsort: GROSSLMARTKONZEPTION2017 full_text_status: public citation: Größl, Martin (2017) Konzeptioneller Ansatz einer Fehlerprädiktionsumgebung. [Dissertation] document_url: https://archiv.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/volltextserver/23714/1/Phd_Thesis_Martin_Groessl_UNI.pdf