title: Aid and conflict at the subnational level - Evidence from World Bank and Chinese development projects in Africa
creator: Gehring, Kai S.
creator: Wong, Melvin H.L.
creator: Kaplan, Lennart C.
subject: ddc-330
subject: 330 Economics
description: Using geo-referenced data on development projects by the World Bank and China, we provide a comprehensive analysis of the effect of aid on conflict using fixed effects and instrumental variables strategies. The results show that aid projects seem to reduce rather than fuel conflict, on average. Our analysis suggests that this is driven by projects in the transport and financial sectors, and through less lethal violence by governments against civilians. There are no clear differences based on ethnic fractionalization and government affiliation of a region, but some indications of spill-overs to other regions. We also find no increased likelihood of demonstrations, strikes or riots, but a higher likelihood of non-lethal government repression in areas where China is active.
date: 2018-11-27
type: Working paper
type: info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper
type: NonPeerReviewed
format: application/pdf
identifier: https://archiv.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/volltextserverhttps://archiv.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/volltextserver/25686/3/Gehring_Wong_Kaplan_2018_dp657.pdf
identifier: DOI:10.11588/heidok.00025686
identifier: urn:nbn:de:bsz:16-heidok-256867
identifier:   Gehring, Kai S. ; Wong, Melvin H.L. ; Kaplan, Lennart C.  (2018) Aid and conflict at the subnational level - Evidence from World Bank and Chinese development projects in Africa.  [Working paper]     
relation: https://archiv.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/volltextserver/25686/
rights: info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights: http://archiv.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/volltextserver/help/license_urhg.html
language: eng