eprintid: 25686 rev_number: 15 eprint_status: archive userid: 3114 dir: disk0/00/02/56/86 datestamp: 2018-11-28 15:11:23 lastmod: 2019-01-30 12:00:41 status_changed: 2018-11-28 15:11:23 type: workingPaper metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Gehring, Kai S. creators_name: Wong, Melvin H.L. creators_name: Kaplan, Lennart C. title: Aid and conflict at the subnational level - Evidence from World Bank and Chinese development projects in Africa subjects: ddc-330 divisions: i-181000 abstract: Using geo-referenced data on development projects by the World Bank and China, we provide a comprehensive analysis of the effect of aid on conflict using fixed effects and instrumental variables strategies. The results show that aid projects seem to reduce rather than fuel conflict, on average. Our analysis suggests that this is driven by projects in the transport and financial sectors, and through less lethal violence by governments against civilians. There are no clear differences based on ethnic fractionalization and government affiliation of a region, but some indications of spill-overs to other regions. We also find no increased likelihood of demonstrations, strikes or riots, but a higher likelihood of non-lethal government repression in areas where China is active. date: 2018-11-27 id_scheme: DOI id_number: 10.11588/heidok.00025686 ppn_swb: 1653765879 own_urn: urn:nbn:de:bsz:16-heidok-256867 language: eng bibsort: GEHRINGKAIAIDANDCONF20181127 full_text_status: public series: Discussion Paper Series, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics volume: 0657 place_of_pub: Heidelberg citation: Gehring, Kai S. ; Wong, Melvin H.L. ; Kaplan, Lennart C. (2018) Aid and conflict at the subnational level - Evidence from World Bank and Chinese development projects in Africa. [Working paper] document_url: https://archiv.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/volltextserver/25686/3/Gehring_Wong_Kaplan_2018_dp657.pdf