eprintid: 28723 rev_number: 16 eprint_status: archive userid: 5316 dir: disk0/00/02/87/23 datestamp: 2020-08-04 08:12:56 lastmod: 2020-09-03 11:58:05 status_changed: 2020-08-04 08:12:56 type: doctoralThesis metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Kleen, Onno title: Three Essays on Volatility Forecasting and Forecast Evaluation subjects: ddc-310 subjects: ddc-330 divisions: i-181000 adv_faculty: af-18 keywords: Economic forecasting, forecast evaluation, volatility, portfolio analysis, GARCH-MIDAS, low-volatility anomaly abstract: The three main chapters of this dissertation are self-contained research articles that can be read independently from each other. They all focus on forecasting with financial and macroeconomic data. The analyses in Chapter 1 and 2 are joint works with Christian Conrad. Both focus on forecasting volatility for financial markets. In Chapter 1, we address aggregate stock market volatility and in Chapter 2 stock-specific volatility for investment decisions. Chapter 3 is single-authored and, in contrast to the other two chapters, focuses on the evaluation of distribution forecasts. date: 2020 id_scheme: DOI id_number: 10.11588/heidok.00028723 ppn_swb: 1728684927 own_urn: urn:nbn:de:bsz:16-heidok-287237 date_accepted: 2020-07-27 advisor: HASH(0x55a99e5f4d00) language: eng bibsort: KLEENONNOTHREEESSAY2020 full_text_status: public place_of_pub: Heidelberg citation: Kleen, Onno (2020) Three Essays on Volatility Forecasting and Forecast Evaluation. [Dissertation] document_url: https://archiv.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/volltextserver/28723/1/Doktorarbeit%20Onno%20Kleen.pdf