eprintid: 9828 rev_number: 8 eprint_status: archive userid: 1 dir: disk0/00/00/98/28 datestamp: 2009-09-21 10:40:19 lastmod: 2015-04-24 18:01:23 status_changed: 2012-08-14 15:30:45 type: workingPaper metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Dominiak, Adam creators_name: Dürsch, Peter creators_name: Lefort, Jean-Philippe title: A Dynamic Ellsberg Urn Experiment ispublished: pub subjects: 330 divisions: 181000 keywords: Non expected utility preferences , ambiguity , updating , dynamic consistency , consequentialism abstract: Two rationality arguments are used to justify the link between conditional and unconditional preferences in decision theory: dynamic consistency and consequentialism. Dynamic consistency requires that ex ante contingent choices are respected by updated preferences. Consequentialism states that only those outcomes which are still possible can matter for updated preferences. We test the descriptive validity of these rationality arguments with a dynamic version of Ellsberg's three color experiment and find that subjects act more often in line with consequentialism than with dynamic consistency. abstract_translated_lang: eng class_scheme: jel class_labels: D81, C91 date: 2009 date_type: published id_scheme: DOI id_number: 10.11588/heidok.00009828 schriftenreihe_cluster_id: sr-3 schriftenreihe_order: 0487 ppn_swb: 608488283 own_urn: urn:nbn:de:bsz:16-opus-98286 language: eng bibsort: DOMINIAKADADYNAMICEL2009 full_text_status: public citation: Dominiak, Adam ; Dürsch, Peter ; Lefort, Jean-Philippe (2009) A Dynamic Ellsberg Urn Experiment. [Working paper] document_url: https://archiv.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/volltextserver/9828/1/dp487.pdf