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Identifying Agglomeration Shadows: Long-run Evidence from Ancient Ports

Hornbeck, Richard ; Michaels, Guy ; Rauch, Ferdinand

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Abstract

We examine "agglomeration shadows" that emerge around large cities, which discourage some economic activities in nearby areas. Identifying agglomeration shadows is complicated, however, by endogenous city formation and "wave interference" that we show in simulations. We use the locations of ancient ports near the Mediterranean, which seeded modern cities, to estimate agglomeration shadows cast on nearby areas. We find that empirically, as in the simulations, detectable agglomeration shadows emerge for large cities around ancient ports. These patterns extend to modern city locations more generally, and illustrate how encouraging growth in particular places can discourage growth of nearby areas.

Document type: Working paper
Series Name: AWI Discussion Paper Series
Volume: 0752
Publisher: Universität
Place of Publication: Heidelberg
Date Deposited: 01 Aug 2024 13:11
Date: June 2024
Number of Pages: 68
Faculties / Institutes: The Faculty of Economics and Social Studies > Alfred-Weber-Institut for Economics
DDC-classification: 330 Economics
Uncontrolled Keywords: agglomeration shadow, urban hierarchy, new economic geography
Series: Discussion Paper Series / University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics
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